03/01/2026
Seven come eleven.
Anyone who follows the news has perhaps realized the inevitability of this moment. Donald Trump used to run gambling casinos in Atlantic City, so maybe it is no great surprise that he has now rolled the dice and singlehandedly plunged us into a weekend war with Iran. What rankles is that he did so without even consulting Congress or musing about the serious reservations of the Joint Chiefs.
We may take comfort in the fact that he did chat in advance with Israel’s Bibi Netanyahu so that both men could coordinate their plans.
There are a number of ironies connected to this whole debacle, however. Never mind that Congress is supposed to declare war. That’s such a quaint idea, after all, letting our elected representatives take responsibility. So…Constitutional. And never mind the fact that it was just a year ago that we ostensibly bombed their nuclear facilities back to the stone age–”obliterated” them, according to our President–and once again, without the benefit of congressional wisdom.
Unlike the last adventure when our special forces helicoptered into Venezuela and abducted that nation’s head of state, the attack on Iran is destined to be much more difficult. You don’t need to be a four-star general to know that this was never going to be a walk in the park. Iran has some ninety million inhabitants; it also has a well-trained and well-equipped military. And even if many Iranians are against the brutal rule of the ayatollahs, they are very patriotic. They’ve endured a gruesome six-year war with Iraq and they know in no uncertain terms what it means to sacrifice blood and treasure.
I wonder if this was ever mentioned in the Oval Office. Probably not. Since Trump is not even contemplating making a major announcement about the war, I’m guessing he thinks (hopes? prays?) that somehow this will amount to yet another short blood-letting, that the regime will simply throw up their hands and fold their tents and vanish in the night. And does he also believe in fairy tales? That everyone will live happily ever after?
There are, of course, real, legitimate reasons to want to topple the folks in Tehran. They have supported terrorist organizations throughout the Middle East, they suppress, imprison and torture their own people, and their narrow theocratic myopia flies in the face of our natural pluralist instincts. But by that metric, many misbehaving countries deserve our wrath. Are we on a war footing with Russia? China? North Korea? I see little evidence. The question then becomes, can we afford to be the world’s policeman? Are our ethical standards so pure?
Chances are, this hot mess we are waltzing into stems not from actual cause, but rather, from our President’s perceived need. Truth be told, he’s wagging the dog; Iran is just a distraction, a bright, shiny object Donald Trump wants us to focus on instead of the economy, the roaming bands of ICE thugs, the coming elections, and, most importantly, the Epstein affair. He knows he is tainted, a lame duck. He knows his own base is increasingly abandoning him. And maybe somewhere in the back of his mind he fears the coming rule of law and that his days of freedom are numbered.
Let me say that I hope this goes well and ends quickly. I pray that it does. But I don’t pretend to be a prophet. I honestly have no idea what success looks like, and I doubt that Trump does, either.
–Andy Weinberger